Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000775 0.000885 0.001001 0.001133 0.001279 0.001433 0.001610
2025-01-19 0.000588 0.000737 0.000907 0.001111 0.001350 0.001618 0.001941
2025-01-26 0.000511 0.000681 0.000883 0.001136 0.001442 0.001798 0.002240
2025-02-02 0.000449 0.000633 0.000860 0.001155 0.001523 0.001964 0.002523
2025-02-09 0.000386 0.000573 0.000813 0.001136 0.001551 0.002059 0.002719
2025-02-16 0.000332 0.000519 0.000768 0.001113 0.001568 0.002137 0.002892
2025-02-23 0.000300 0.000491 0.000753 0.001126 0.001628 0.002270 0.003134
2025-03-02 0.000271 0.000464 0.000736 0.001133 0.001681 0.002391 0.003363
2025-03-09 0.000234 0.000421 0.000694 0.001102 0.001677 0.002437 0.003493
2025-03-16 0.000203 0.000382 0.000653 0.001069 0.001669 0.002475 0.003612
2025-03-23 0.000182 0.000360 0.000635 0.001067 0.001701 0.002567 0.003802
2025-03-30 0.000165 0.000340 0.000619 0.001068 0.001736 0.002662 0.003999
2025-04-06 0.000147 0.000317 0.000596 0.001055 0.001753 0.002733 0.004166
2025-04-13 0.000129 0.000292 0.000569 0.001035 0.001757 0.002786 0.004310
2025-04-20 0.000121 0.000285 0.000570 0.001058 0.001826 0.002932 0.004584
2025-04-27 0.000112 0.000276 0.000568 0.001076 0.001886 0.003067 0.004845
2025-05-04 0.000099 0.000256 0.000544 0.001059 0.001891 0.003120 0.004992
2025-05-11 0.000087 0.000236 0.000520 0.001036 0.001887 0.003160 0.005118
2025-05-18 0.000081 0.000228 0.000516 0.001049 0.001938 0.003281 0.005364
2025-05-25 0.000074 0.000220 0.000509 0.001056 0.001981 0.003390 0.005594
2025-06-01 0.000064 0.000201 0.000482 0.001026 0.001961 0.003405 0.005685
2025-06-08 0.000055 0.000183 0.000456 0.000996 0.001939 0.003414 0.005767
2025-06-15 0.000050 0.000174 0.000446 0.000993 0.001964 0.003496 0.005958